Interesting comments from Amy Walter of The Cook Political Report and NPR's Tamara Keith on today's edition of Politics Monday on the PBS Newshour.
Keith was reporting from The Villages, a retirement community near Orlando that is the fastest growing part of Florida. Some say it is the fastest growing community in the United States, however I think the Austin - San Antonio area would give it a run for its money.
Many of those new residents are moving to Florida from places like Ohio, Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin. While that bodes well for Trump's chances of winning Florida in 2020, there will be a corresponding weakening in those midwestern states.
I have been wondering how many of the previous election's independent voters who broke for Trump just before the 2016 election, especially those that went from Bernie to Trump instead of Hillary, will stick with the President the next time around.
Has Trump delivered on his promises of new jobs and prosperity in the post-industrial (read: rust belt) midwest? Did these voters benefit from the tax cut, or do they say it as a giveaway to the rich?
The key revelation here has been the reaction to Libertarian Republican Justin Amash at his Town Hall meeting in Grand Rapids, MI on May 28th, 2019.
Grand Rapids is ultra conservative and Amash has a conservative voting record to match, despite House Whip Kevin McCarthy's cheap shots dismissing Amash.
If Trump is losing here, if these midwesterners no longer believe in the President's kind of change, then Michigan is lost, and a key leg in Trump's electoral college victory is broken.
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